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Today General Knowledge(GK)
Fitch Raises India's GDP Forecast for FY25 to ____.
A)
6%
B)
7%
C)
8%
D)
9%

Correct Answer : Option (B) - 7%



Fitch Ratings has raised India’s growth forecast for FY25 to 7%, up from the previous estimate of 6.5%. The upgrade is attributed to robust domestic demand and sustained growth in business and consumer confidence, following a strong 8.4% expansion in Q3FY24.

Reasons for Forecast Upgrade :

* Strong Domestic Demand : Fitch predicts domestic demand, particularly investments, to be the main driver of growth.
* High Confidence Levels : Confidence among businesses and consumers remains high, further supporting growth.
* Short-Term Growth Outlook : Growth is expected to be higher than normal in the short term but may moderate towards a more sustainable pace in FY25.

Inflation Expectations :

* Gradual Decrease : Fitch expects inflation to gradually decrease to 4% by the end of the year, assuming stabilization in food prices.

Monetary Policy Forecast

* Revised Interest Rate Cut Estimate : Fitch now anticipates the Reserve Bank of India to cut interest rates by 0.5% in the second half of the year, down from the previous estimate of 0.75%. This adjustment reflects the stronger growth outlook.

* RBI’s Stance : The RBI has maintained the repo rate at 6.50% for six consecutive meetings and remains committed to achieving a sustainable 4% inflation target.

Published On : March 15, 2024
Category : Indian Economy
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